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National League West Forecast Part 1: Los Angeles Dodgers

With an interesting offseason thus far for many of the teams, I'll take a team-by-team look at the NL West. Each preview will feature whether each team has gotten better or worse, who to watch for, and my prediction as to where each team will end up.

We'll start off with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers.

After finishing atop the division last season, the Dodgers swept the Cardinals in the Divisional series only to lose to the Philadelphia Phillies in five games in the NL Championship Series.

A big question all of last season was whether the Dodger pitching staff could continue to exceed expectations week after week, which they actually ended up doing.

With the departure of veteran and solid lefty Randy Wolf to the Brewers and veteran righty Jon Garland to division rival San Diego, the Dodgers starting rotation is again a question mark. Chad Billingsley has the tools and potential to become a rotation ace, but two things will have to be seen before he can assume "Ace" status.

Can Billingsley stay healthy enough to give the Dodgers the amount of innings needed from a front-of-the rotation guy? And can he harness the potential that is there?

Two other pitchers will be interesting to watch in 2010. I look for the young southpaw Clayton Kershaw to finally be ready to start living up to the buzz he developed as a minor leaguer.

The one knock on Kershaw last season was his lack of control. I look for Kershaw to work with pitching coach Rick Honeycutt to find any flaws in his mechanics. Kershaw needs to work on limiting his number of walks per 9 innings (4.79 in '09). If he can do that, I expect big things from the 21-year old.

I also expect to see James McDonald compete for the 5th spot in the rotation. The 25-year old righty was solid out of the bullpen for the Dodgers last season, compiling a 4.00 ERA while making 45 appearances, four of which were starts. With a lively fastball (mid-90's) and a solid changeup, curveball, and slider, McDonald averaged almost eight strikeouts per inning pitched. I expect him to win the final spot and succeed.

The two hitters that I'm watching are center fielder Matt Kemp and second baseman Ronnie Belliard. Although he had a stellar year, we haven't seen the best of Matt Kemp yet. Only 25 years old, Kemp hit .297, with  26 homers, 101 RBI's, 97 runs, and 34 stolen bases. Somehow even with this type of production, Kemp found himself hitting in the bottom half of the order for most of the year, a shame really.

Getting by on raw talent alone, I expect Kemp to become more of a 'baseball player' and harness his freakish athleticism. I predict a 30/30/100/100 season for the stud, as he will be higher in the order, where he deserves to be.

Ronnie Belliard, last season's playoff darling for the Dodgers, will head into Spring Training with the starting job. With Orlando Hudson agreeing to terms with the Minnesota Twins, Belliard—who was clutch down the stretch—will likely compete with utility-man Blake Dewitt for the second base job.

We know that Belliard can hit—with his longer than average length bat—but the question is can he flash the leather well enough to keep the job?

I think he will keep the job. Belliard was able to supplant Hudson as the starting second baseman last season because he was hitting and Hudson wasn't. We'll see what Mini-Manny can do for an entire season with the Dodgers.

With all of this said, I believe the pitching staff, especially the bullpen, where they lack experience, will not pitch as well as last year's staff, and this will knock the Dodgers out of first place. I predict a 88-74 season and a second place finish in the NL West.

Up next, the San Francisco Giants. Stay Tuned

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The Saints Came Marching In

I still believe the Colts had the best team, but the best team doesn’t always win and the Saints had the better game plan, better coaching and better execution. 
They rolled the dice, and it paid off.  The Saints deserved to win.  Peyton Manning could have cemented his legacy as the greatest QB of all [...]

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Slew of teams after Japanese hurler Takahashi (Yahoo! Sports)

Japanese pitcher Hisanori Takahashi has a slew of teams after him, according to NPB Tracker.

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Kevin Goldstein likes Dee and Chris

But Lambo is ranked below Kyle Russell in his Top Prospects column.

It seems like every year when Baseball Prospectus is going to issue the Dodgers' top prospects, the publication is delayed.  While whether or not it was delayed, here is the list (most of the analysis is only available to subscribers.)

http://bit.ly/bHvsAn

Five-Star Prospects
1. Dee Gordon, SS
2. Chris Withrow, RHP
Four-Star Prospects
3. Ethan Martin, RHP
Three-Star Prospects
4. Aaron Miller, LHP
5. Scott Elbert, LHP
6. Trayvon Robinson, OF
7. Garrett Gould, RHP
8. Ivan DeJesus Jr., SS
9. Josh Lindblom, RHP
Two-Star Prospects
10. Kenley Jansen, RHP
11. Kyle Russell, OF

Four More:
12. Andrew Lambo, OF: He isn’t an athletic corner outfielder, and is instead a bat-only prospect who might not have enough bat.
13. Allen Webster, RHP: A highly projectable righty, Webster has the potential to rocket up this list after his 2010 full-season debut.
14. Pedro Baez, 3B: He needs to overcome an injury bug and plate discipline issues, but his tools remain outstanding.
15. Nathan Eovaldi, RHP: This Tommy John surgery survivor was kept on a short leash in 2009, but he was brilliant at times while showcasing one of the more live arms in the system.

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Mattingly To Manage the Dodgers Soon?

When Joe Torre left the Yankees Don Mattingly seemed like his heir apparent, but when Joe Girardi beat him out for the manager’s position Mattingly left town with Torre.

Now it once again looks like Mattingly is the heir apparent for Torre.

“We’ve got a good young club and the organization seems to like me and have confidence in me,” Mattingly said . “So we’ll have to see what happens.”

Like myself, many Yankee fans were upset when Mattingly left the organization, but many of us felt like it would only be a matter of time before he returned. Lately his situation has reminded me a lot of  Lou Piniella. See Piniella managed the Yankees briefly, left, and even though he has said he would like to return to the Bronx the timing has just never been right.

This could become the case with Mattingly. Not only is he with the Dodgers organization now, but he seems genuinely happy there which isn’t necessarily an easy thing with their organization in turmoil.

“It’s been a good organization for me,” Mattingly said. “They’ve treated me really well and I’ve been fortunate, really.

“It’s been two great organizations with the Yankees and now the Dodgers.”

Not only does he seem happy there, but for the time being the Yankees seem very happy with Joe Girardi. He’s fresh off managing the team to a World Series victory and despite the fact that he’s in the last year of his contract, he doesn’t seem worried about his lame duck status. For those who don’t remember the pre-Torre era, a comfortable manager is not something you find in the Bronx every day.

Besides, Mattingly isn’t even the Dodger manager yet and despite the fact that there are whispers of Torre’s retirement it hasn’t happened yet. When it comes to his retirement, I’ll believe it when I see it. See, Torre talking about retirement is nothing new. We first heard it at times in 1997, then again in 2000, then again after 2003. So Mattingly could be taking the helm in 2011…or 2014…or never.

It’s impossible to tell in this situation, but one thing is for sure, if the Dodgers did make him the manager they would be getting a levelheaded and trustworthy guy who will give his all to the team. And the Yankees will be lucky if they ever get him back.

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Give It A Rest!

Since the Dodgers failed to offer arbitration the Hudson and Wolf, I have heard such incessant crying and complaining about the Dodgers failure to do so and how stupid it was.  Right about now, I am going to publish what Jon Weisman  wrote today at his new gig at ESPN Los Angeles, where he has [...]

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Giles signs minor league contract with Dodgers (AP)

Veteran outfielder Brian Giles has signed a minor league contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers said Sunday that Giles has been invited to big league camp. A career .291 hitter, Giles batted just .191 in 61 games last season with the San Diego Padres. The 39-year-old Giles did not play after going on the disabled list June 19 with a bruised right knee.

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